Days of Change

Animal Spirits | August 5, 2016

I had trouble writing a title for this post, maybe because I’m not sure what I’m trying to express. The story this week is that the bad run of polling for Donald Trump is a permanent run. It brings to mind the poll that launched MSNBC. On the first day of the network, July 15, 1996, their top “news” story was a poll that had Bill Clinton leading Bob Dole by 24%. That lead would eventually drop to 8% and Clinton would still fail to break 50% of the popular vote.

The Republican Party was declared dead after losing the House and Senate in 2006 and the White House in 2008, along with barely having the necessary Senators to filibuster. While the Republican Party has bounced back in Congress, it’s not certain if the party is salvageable or the Tea Party tried to take it over and failed.

Most conservative media figures have either accepted or joined the Trump bandwagon. Even they know that even if the media is a propaganda arm of the Democrats, saying that repeatedly isn’t going to win an election. You can’t make Donald Trump do anything, so the “unforced error” is the instrument of destruction here.

Early on, I blamed the GOP establishment for Donald Trump. Not only did they back unpopular candidates, they often worked to marginalize conservative ones. Ted Cruz had all the tools to beat Trump, but not against multiple establishment guys and John Kasich’s unending zombie campaign PLUS Donald Trump. In fact, even without leaked e-mails it seemed that the RNC was more comfortable with a Trump campaign than a Cruz campaign.

It was pretty clear from the start that the Trumpers were either willing to vote for him as a third-party candidate or walk away from the Republican Party if he didn’t win the nomination. What’s happening now is the equal and opposite reaction. Voters, some moderate Republicans and some conservative, cannot vote for the destruction of the Republican Party because Hillary Clinton is a bad person. This is literally the only argument Trumpers have left to convince Republicans to vote for Trump. I would counter with Matthew 16:26

For what is a man profited, if he shall gain the whole world, and lose his own soul? or what shall a man give in exchange for his soul?

Unlike Obama, we will not negotiate with terrorists. Trump supporters forced him on the party by threatening to leave. Now, they try to force us to stay by threatening a Hillary Clinton presidency. I knew Trump was going to “be Trump” the whole time. The “pivot” was an illusion. Let’s see how that works out.


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    2016 Polls

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