Days of Change

But I’m Still Sick From the Last Debate

October 27, 2015

We’re actually just a few months away from the Iowa caucus and the more important New Hampshire primary. Winning both puts one in good shape for getting the nomination. Right now, Ben Carson has a good chance of winning Iowa while Trump is likely to win New Hampshire. Trump’s current advantage is that he doesn’t have the baggage of a candidate who “goes negative” on his own party because he’s a negative person in general. Everyone who supports him is great, everyone who doesn’t is a “loser.”

Since the last debate, Carly Fiorina has gone from standout to also-ran. In fact, any gain she had seems to have been completely absorbed by Carson. Most of the professional politicians are in the low to mid single digits. Tomorrow’s debate will do little to change the lineup. I think the only thing that’s left is for someone like Jeb Bush to go hard on Trump, kind of like he did this weekend. It’s not good governance, but it seems to be good campaigning to say the other guy is a stupid clown and that if you don’t vote for me, you’re a clown, too. At fourth place, he has nothing much to lose.


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