Days of Change

After Obama | June 28, 2014

The best case scenario in 2014 is that Republicans get 51 Senate seats, thus gaining the majority. The worse case is that somehow they lose enough seats for Democrats to retake the House. In either scenario, the balance of power won’t shift a whole lot because neither party will have a filibuster-proof majority and there is no chance of a veto-proof one.

My best guess for why the Republicans aren’t using the power of the purse string is a holdover from last year’s budget block. They got a lot of bad attention in the Obama-loving media for doing the right thing. When they did the wrong thing and passed the budget, those stories were immediately replaced by negative Obamacare stories. Ultimately, they figure that a majority in the Senate will not allow them to pass anything, but both houses will be able to block legislation as a unified body. To me, the difference is merely political and comes at the expense of our economy.

The good news is that except for the FDR anomaly, (what I refer to as “Fear Itself”) the only span of a party in the presidency longer than 8 years was the Ronald Reagan to George Bush run from 1981-1993. People are luckily starting to tire of Obama. The preference cascade is turning to weak support and by the time either Hillary, Biden or Squaw Warren shows up, voters will have a different preference.

Now we need to find out how potential Republican candidates plan to fix Obamanation. Romney had a good plan and articulated it terribly. Scott Walker had to do much the same in Wisconsin, with good success. It looks like a messy clean up job is ahead, but Reagan managed to do it with aplomb.



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