Days of Change

Day 1176 – An Unfortunate Consideration | January 24, 2012

With the race being down to Mitt vs. Newt, there is one question to ask. When it comes to the general election, which voters are more likely to stay home because their nominee didn’t win? Some people have been behind Romney for president five years running. Others think Gingrich is the only thing close to a Tea Party Republican left in the race.

Even though Newt is a big baby, I think Romney supporters are even bigger babies. When Mitt ran as a conservative in 2008, he lost to a more moderate (to them) John McCain. I think that demonization of McCain by the establishment made virtual unknown Obama look palatable by comparison.

The best outcome for me is a Mitt Romney as presidential candidate with Newt Gingrich as VP. The more ideological candidate generally works better as a VP. McCain should have taken Romney as a running mate, but I’m pretty sure Romney was betting on McCain’s loss in 2008.

Romney’s support is strong in the GOP. Gingrich’s support is weak. That support has gone to different candidates from week to week. Romney’s ceiling of 25% is also his floor. Newt may get 40% in South Carolina, but he got around 10% in Iowa and New Hampshire. Why choose one over the other when you can get both?

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  1. I hear what you’re saying, but I just don’t see that merger taking place. I think there is genuine dislike and distrust between Romney and Gingrich.

    As for whose supporters will stay home……personally I think with a Gingrich candidacy more than establishment GOP Romney people stay home. I think you’ll see independents and moderate democrats sit it out too…….or worse vote Obama. Gingrich elicits a visceral hatred in many quarters…..left, right and in the middle.

    Comment by Somebody — January 24, 2012 @ 9:36 am

  2. It will boil down to $$$. I think Mitt will coninue to draw the donatons. Somehow, I don’t think Newt would settle for VP.

    Comment by Mary — January 25, 2012 @ 12:13 am

  3. I agree with you Mary. I don’t think Newt would settle for VP, but then maybe he’d rather have a piece of the pie instead of no pie at all.

    I just don’t see his ego allowing him to accept VP. I also can’t imagine Romney would want him anywhere near his ticket unless absolutely necessary.

    Comment by Somebody — January 25, 2012 @ 8:40 am

  4. Somebody @ #3

    Romney needs your senator, Marco Rubio, as VP to stand any chance at all against obama. As it is, I elieve obama will win because the people who brought their puppet this far are not about to quit until the USA, democracy, and the “blessings of liberty” have are destroyed.

    Comment by Mary — January 25, 2012 @ 8:49 pm

  5. If Newt’s not going with Romney, then his PAC needs to kill him now. Newt isn’t the champion of this situation. He only make sit possible for Romney to be a real choice. No one wants a nominee who won before Super Tuesday. That was one of McCain’s problems.

    I agree with Sarah Palin that the primaries should go on, but Romney needs to stop fleeing from the base and win a red state,

    Comment by 1539days — January 25, 2012 @ 9:38 pm

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