Days of Change

Day 1154 – Who Comes in Fourth?

January 2, 2012
3 Comments

New Hampshire had the distinction of always choosing the future president in their primary until 1992. Bill Clinton may have been the comeback kid, but he was second best in New Hampshire. After that, New Hampshire became even less predictive. The magic was gone.

Iowa’s record is even worse. It is first in the nation for no particularly good reason. In 2008, John McCain came in fourth after Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson. In 2004, Democrats forced the Iowa caucuses to be predictive. When Kerry pulled out a last minute victory, party support rallied around him. He got the nomination because he bought enough ads in one tiny state.

The only thing about Iowa I’m looking forward to is the fact that when it ends the campaign begins.


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