Those of us who (grudgingly) supported Mitt Romney’s campaign in 2012 kept trying to look for the fables preference cascade. I mentioned it four times before the election. My hope was that conservatives were already against Obama and independents and moderates would finally be tired of him. The problem is that motivating the uncommitted is like herding cats. The cascade has to start among the ranks of the most devoted.
You won’t see Obama’s inner circle or the more famous Obama supporters (like the ones in the media) turning on him. They are the inner circle. They not only have a financial and social reason to prop him up, they also gave up on really believing in anything when Obama started playing both sides well into his first year in office. Almost immediately after October 1, President Obama started losing the support and forgiveness of his foot soldiers.
The last president to have broad support among almost all groups was Ronald Reagan. Since then, Democrats have decided to close ranks, trying to hold the 40% or so needed to attract the other 10% and win enough votes to secure elections. It’s not that white men choose their candidates to oppose the choice of women and minorities, this group was ejected from the Democratic Party to make the rest feel like special snowflakes. The fact that most Democrats in power are white males is purely coincidental.
Barack Obama was chosen for the same reason any crooked cop or politician is. He was willing to look the other way as money went from the federal budget to the party’s donors. Obama frequently greased the skids as well, when he wasn’t collecting his fundraising rewards. He was also comfortable with exploiting a paranoid siege mentality where the slightest hyperbole by a conservative was treated like a call to violence. How many times have peaceful opponents been called dangerous?
Those who once supported Obama were the targets of the most abuse. Showing the world at large that there was life after turning on Obama might encourage others to do the same. This whack-a-mole strategy is why is takes a cascade to change the minds of people. The cascade came in the form of millions of true believers either signing up for more expensive insurance or getting letters cancelling their current plans. Obama’s approval went from the 40s to the 30s and the best he can hope is that it will level off.
I finally got that change, 13 months too late. Hooray.
The international deal with Iran, where they get their money back from sanctions that barely work so that they have no impediments, was dropped on us Saturday night. On Sunday, only Israel (and Saudi Arabia, interestingly enough) seemed to oppose it. Of course, the UN is essentially an anti-Semitic hate group who constantly looks for ways to diminish Israel.
And yet, Sarah Palin was smart enough to bring us back to the reason why this deal is not in our American specific interest either. She asked if the arrangement included the release of Americans jailed for being Christians. Iran is a theocracy, something our founders thought was a bad idea. International law allows them to be lousy to their own people, but the line stops at Americans, whether they were born in Iran or not.
Given the low opinions Democrats have of Barack Obama and the unique relationship America has with Israel, this agreement could be overridden in the Senate with 67 votes (or 51, did Harry Reid change that yet?) A veto override is usually the last step to the land of lame ducks. It’s just hard to decide sometimes if Obama’s foreign policy is worse than his domestic policy.
One of the things Fox News enjoys is to refer to MSNBC as NBC News. MSNBC is a different organization with different leadership and a different news philosophy, sort of. In the real world, however, there is little separation between the two. Brian Williams’ first show was on MSNBC at 9pm doing a late nightly news broadcast. Chuck Todd and Andrea Mitchell are firmly in both channels. Much of MSNBC’s news content is provided by the network.
Sarah Palin has been trying to re-forge a relationship with NBC. In 2008, Palin was set up on a number of hostile interviews by Nicolle Wallace, one of the likely sources for “Game Change,” especially since Wallace does not come off as a moron in the book. She appeared on Today the same week ABC was promoting Katie Couric, essentially neutering ABC’s potential ratings boom. She recently was interviewed by Matt Lauer about her new book and handled herself very effectively.
However, with the lack of real repercussion for the words of MSNBC’s Martin Bashir against her has made it necessary for Palin to let NBC News know there are some consequences. She has publicly dropped plans for a multi-part series of interviews with Lauer from Wasilla, Alaska. It was nothing Lauer or Today did, but what NBC did not do to sanction the hosts that use the NBC banner to spew hatred. It goes right to the heart of any corporate relationship. Discourage behavior by hurting them financially. If Palin were to make the further step of moving her interview to Good Morning America, it would be a major reversal.
Sometimes it takes building a relationship to be able to use it for change.
Yet again, Fox News finds a way not to air Saturday Red Eye. Oh, and Obama bent over for Iran.
Is that news?
On the afternoon of November 22, 1963, President John F. Kennedy was assassinated in Dallas, Texas. Less than 24 hours later, a television show premiered on the BBC in Great Britain. Doctor Who is celebrating its 50th anniversary tomorrow. These events crossed paths in 1963, as ratings for the premiere of Doctor Who were small due to the international attention of Kennedy’s death. A week later, Doctor Who’s premiere episode was re-aired along with the a new episode featuring the most popular villains in Doctor Who history.
The Kennedy Assassination was a single event, what Doctor Who would call a “fixed point in time.” It’s repercussions come from the actions of people after the fact. As much as people speculate about what might have been, the more important result is what was and what is. The fact that the most powerful man in the world could be gunned down in a car changed the way America viewed itself. The conspiracy theory became a cottage industry. The idea that government could be complicit in acts against its own people took root in the American psyche.
Unfortunately, the government started acting against its own tenets. Lyndon Johnson accelerated a war that became impossible to win. He implemented a War on Poverty that made the poor a ward of the state. The next president used governmental power to exploit his personal flaws. Nixon also made the federal government more of an imposition on American lives. Barack Obama completes the siege mentality, claiming a stronger desire from Americans to assassinate him, when all evidence points to the contrary. He has shown a special ability to live inside a bubble and not be exposed to the results of his actions.
Doctor Who, by contrast, is more democratic. It ran for 26 years before it was cancelled. It could not be kept down, however, and has been back for almost a decade. It makes its impact in more positive and subtle ways. I’ve been watching that show for the last month. I haven’t been watching an assassination. I think I’m better off for it.
Does fortune favor the bold?
The Democrats regained Congress in 2007 after the adoption of a 50 state strategy of competing in every election possible, even if it wasn’t competitive. If they won on just the Iraq War, Democrats were pulling a fast one on their base even earlier than we thought. Bush made a sharp correction in the Iraq War, employing a strategy of large forces, but with measurable results. He also stopped all attempts to end the war prematurely, leaving the Democrats’ only option actually cutting funding for troops and the party was neither stupid or crazy enough to do that. People with money and power decided that the Democrats needed someone both stupid and crazy enough to get things done. Enter Barack Obama.
The President of the United States has had increasing powers with every successive administration. Bush used signing statements. Clinton used the bully pulpit. Reagan used the military. Johnson used bribery and threats. Barack Obama used money. While overlooked, the Stimulus was nearly a trillion dollars of money that either went missing or to groups dedicated to taking government money and kicking it back to Democratic Party coffers. That kind of scratch made liberals forgive a lot of stupid and forget a lot of crazy.
While Nancy Pelosi is a diva in love with the scent of her own flatulence, Harry Reid has turned out to be the real counterpart to Obama. Reid was a lower level hack, a pro-lifer in the Democratic Party with little in the way of prospects. Eventually, his suspicions win in 2010 and his willingness to be the unquestioning Igor to Obama’s Frankenstein has made him the trigger man for wounds that are almost certainly more damaging to the Democratic Party than the Republicans.
Like the Supreme Court, lower level judges time their retirements to match the prevailing ideology of the federal government. Open positions are those of judges who want to retire and get replaced by another liberal before they die on the bench during a Republican administration. Engaging the nuclear option of a 50+1 vote majority to appoint judges is stupid and crazy at a time when the public doesn’t trust the Democrats on anything. However, the party doesn’t see an out for 2014 and is prepared for massive losses and a Republican majority in the Senate.
The 3-4 year plan here is to clear the backlog of hundreds of federal judges by rubber stamping every big government ABA approved leftist they can find over the next 400 or so days. While Republicans would have the same power in 2015, there will be substantially fewer openings for the rest of Obama’s term. All of the Republican picks will, of course, be considered unqualified by the Bar Association and the GOP will be accused of putting idiots on the bench without debate. They are relatively confident of being able to beat Chris Christie in 2016, like every other RINO for the last two elections. Enough money and Democrats can get back the Senate seats in 2016 won by Tea Party candidates in 2010.
The Democrats have been making gains by employing sequential shock and awe attacks. There is outrage fatigue and insufficient exploration of each individual scandal. The media go from squirrel to squirrel, keeping Americans confused. Ironically, the “nuclear option” helps because it replaces an easy to understand lie with a hard to understand procedural difference.
The Republicans have a counter move. They can just stop all budgets and debt ceiling increases. Maybe it’s time to cut off the national credit card.
The most dangerous place for any president is when they are up against their own party. Bush faced this in the last years of his term. Nixon saw it before his resignation. Obama is facing it finally.
In 2008, Barack Obama was a blank slate who only had to be black and talk empty platitudes about new directions and new ways of doing things to be elected. Democrats saw the way the wind was blowing and held onto his effective coattails. By 2010, Democrats were so focused on the end product of Obamacare, they did not look at the legal mangling they did to pass it. They may have thought that once passed, the benefits of “free” child coverage would put them back into office. They were wrong.
Obamacare was never broadly popular. It had a soft majority for a matter of weeks, not months. Obama ran a 2012 campaign where he was Santa Claus and Mitt Romney was Ebeneezer Scrooge. Obama lost millions of voters and Romney gained some over McCain, but there was just not enough momentum. Obamacare was put in a coma so that it couldn’t tell voters what was coming. Now, the Washington Post polled Americans and found that if given a do-over, they would vote for Romney 49-45% over Obama.
2014 brings a lame duck president and a highly unpopular program, characterized by onerous
fines taxes, difficulty in signing up, higher costs and the increasing likelihood that one can lose their insurance entirely. A delay will be too late. Even a repeal will be a band-aid at best. Running against an unpopular president may be the only option.
If a million people a week signed up for Obamacare, we would still end up with as many uninsured as before Obamacare by March. I knew the pain would have to come and it has in droves. Let’s see what it does.
Aside from the faked Michael Jackson documentary, Martin Bashir may be best known for being one of the first on-air personalities to be humiliated by Andrew Breitbart in his new incarnation as owner of Big Journalism. Bashir apparently chose his targets farther removed after that. Sarah Palin, for example, knows that everyone on TV benefits more from her appearance than she benefits from being interviewed by just any guy with a camera.
Bashir decided to attack a videotape of Palin last week and her use of the term slavery. Of course, that term is used frequently (like Obama a little over a month ago used it against the Republican stance on Obamacare) in politics, but somehow it is unacceptable for Sarah Palin to use it. After a barrage of insults, Bashir went a little (in liberal eyes) too far by suggesting Sarah Palin be punished in a vile and disturbing manner.
Bashir had to apologize, without reservation, for his comments. This is considered very magnanimous by Palin haters, because on the network of the blind, the one-eyed man is king. Plus, they really think Palin should be abused in the worst ways possible. Most of us know the worst parts of his screed, but let’s look back at some of the things he said that would normally not have even warranted a retraction.
Some of Bashir’s descriptions of Palin earlier in the same segment:
“her long-deceased mind”
“attempt to sound intelligent”
You could easily find those terms bandied about by most or all of the hosts of MSNBC from 3-11pm every night, except for when they air the highest rated MSNBC show, Lockup. Unlike Bashir’s rank ignorance, most of them know where the line is. Maybe this dunce was trying to move up from 3pm, or get Alec Baldwin’s time slot, but Bashir’s deceased mind attempted to sound intelligent.
At the 2009 State of the Union Address, Congressman Joe Wilson had an unusual reaction to one part of the speech. He audibly claimed “you lie” when President Obama said that illegal immigrants would not have anything free under a health care law. Wilson became something of a fun target for Obama supporters, and yet another “racist” who would never show such disrespect to a White president. For his part, Wilson won the next election and actually ran unopposed in 2012. Calling out Obama seemed to work for him.
It’s pretty likely that Obamacare navigators are already getting illegal immigrants into Medicaid if the fraud from a number of Project Veritas videos are any indication. Ironically, when one undercover investigator asks what he should say about a preexisting conditions, the navigator responds “You lie.”
What we already know is that Obama has lied about people being able to keep what they already had. It was a blatant lie predicated on the hope that enough employers would keep plans that would cost them much more in premiums and that no one would worry about people who bought their own insurance with their own money. Obama claimed that healthcare.gov would work like Kayak, where you can bid on different airlines, hotels and vacation packages. The problem is that the Obamacare site forces you to only choose from 4 star hotels with room service and two bedrooms, and only lets you pick the type of continental breakfast. That’s only when the site is working, of course.
This crisis is like no other for this administration. With Benghazi and the IRS and even Fast and Furious, the abuse of government has already happened, and now Congress is investigating the past. With Obamacare, the disaster is unfolding now and destined to get worse. Obama is trying to lie in real-time, and it’s not working.